OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Oakland to Santa Barbara

263 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on OAK–SBA arrive on time 89% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate89%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay15 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.5%of scheduled flights

based on 184 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time89%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights184

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline38%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)7%
  • Late aircraft55%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly OAK → SBA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 82% to 90% on time.

  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 687 flights
  • Middays89% on time · p90 15 min · 316 flights
  • Afternoons82% on time · p90 55 min · 56 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 83% to 94% on time.

  • Tuesdays94% on time · p90 5 min · 144 flights · limited
  • Thursdays92% on time · p90 5 min · 156 flights · limited
  • Fridays91% on time · p90 10 min · 155 flights · limited
  • Mondays90% on time · p90 10 min · 157 flights · limited
  • Sundays87% on time · p90 15 min · 159 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 144 flights · limited
  • Saturdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 145 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.