OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Tampa

1,307 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–TPA arrive on time 79% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate79%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.0%of scheduled flights

based on 1,183 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights1,183

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline52%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)28%
  • Late aircraft17%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline67%
  • Weather33%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 12 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → TPA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 1,130 flights
  • Middays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,358 flights
  • Evenings78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,040 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 86% on time.

  • Thursdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 514 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 494 flights
  • Mondays85% on time · p90 30 min · 517 flights
  • Fridays84% on time · p90 25 min · 520 flights
  • Wednesdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 500 flights
  • Saturdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 503 flights
  • Sundays79% on time · p90 35 min · 520 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.