OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Santa Ana

1,522 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–SNA arrive on time 68% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate68%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 591 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights591

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline64%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)17%
  • Late aircraft18%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → SNA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 72% to 82% on time.

  • Mornings82% on time · p90 40 min · 166 flights · limited
  • Middays76% on time · p90 40 min · 488 flights
  • Evenings72% on time · p90 45 min · 1,077 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 77% on time.

  • Saturdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 161 flights · limited
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 40 min · 297 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 40 min · 296 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 35 min · 287 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 55 min · 297 flights
  • Tuesdays72% on time · p90 55 min · 158 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays72% on time · p90 45 min · 240 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.