Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to Sacramento
1,518 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–SMF arrive on time 82% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate82%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights
based on 562 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesOn-time82%Medianon timep9025 minCancel0.4%Flights562
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline56%
- Weather1%
- Air traffic (NAS)20%
- Late aircraft23%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → SMF
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 76% to 89% on time.
- Middays89% on time · p90 15 min · 374 flights
- Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 215 flights
- Evenings81% on time · p90 30 min · 795 flights
- Overnights76% on time · p90 40 min · 284 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 78% to 88% on time.
- Tuesdays88% on time · p90 20 min · 241 flights
- Wednesdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 241 flights
- Saturdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 192 flights · limited
- Sundays83% on time · p90 30 min · 246 flights
- Fridays81% on time · p90 30 min · 247 flights
- Mondays80% on time · p90 25 min · 253 flights
- Thursdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 249 flights
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