OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to San Jose

1,575 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–SJC arrive on time 70% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate70%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay70 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.0%of scheduled flights

based on 404 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9070 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights404

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline51%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Late aircraft26%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline100%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 4 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → SJC

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Middays are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Middays85% on time · p90 25 min · 309 flights
  • Evenings72% on time · p90 45 min · 1,029 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 81% on time.

  • Thursdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 234 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 30 min · 184 flights · limited
  • Fridays76% on time · p90 35 min · 232 flights
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 30 min · 111 flights · limited
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 40 min · 233 flights
  • Wednesdays74% on time · p90 50 min · 205 flights
  • Sundays73% on time · p90 45 min · 227 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.