OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Seattle

1,399 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–SEA arrive on time 80% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate80%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights

based on 2,707 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights1,736
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights971

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline41%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)27%
  • Late aircraft28%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline53%
  • Weather47%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 30 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → SEA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 75% to 91% on time.

  • Middays91% on time · p90 10 min · 1,302 flights
  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 2,677 flights
  • Afternoons79% on time · p90 30 min · 1,842 flights
  • Overnights77% on time · p90 35 min · 559 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 40 min · 1,657 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 81% to 86% on time.

  • Saturdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 1,020 flights
  • Wednesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,093 flights
  • Mondays85% on time · p90 25 min · 1,210 flights
  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 1,088 flights
  • Fridays83% on time · p90 25 min · 1,216 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,202 flights
  • Thursdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,208 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.