OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Louisville

604 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–SDF arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.0%of scheduled flights

based on 630 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights630

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline62%
  • Weather21%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Late aircraft0%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline0%
  • Weather100%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 6 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → SDF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 73% to 85% on time.

  • Middays85% on time · p90 25 min · 944 flights
  • Mornings85% on time · p90 40 min · 182 flights · limited
  • Evenings84% on time · p90 20 min · 377 flights
  • Overnights82% on time · p90 25 min · 511 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 55 min · 271 flights

Best day of week

Saturdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 92% on time.

  • Saturdays92% on time · p90 10 min · 238 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 335 flights
  • Sundays83% on time · p90 25 min · 340 flights
  • Tuesdays82% on time · p90 35 min · 331 flights
  • Fridays82% on time · p90 25 min · 347 flights
  • Thursdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 346 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 40 min · 348 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.