Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to San Diego
1,532 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–SAN arrive on time 76% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate76%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights
based on 1,310 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesOn-time76%Medianon timep9035 minCancel0.3%Flights1,310
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline40%
- Weather3%
- Air traffic (NAS)33%
- Late aircraft24%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → SAN
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Afternoons are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 90% on time.
- Afternoons90% on time · p90 10 min · 100 flights · limited
- Mornings83% on time · p90 20 min · 1,034 flights
- Middays82% on time · p90 25 min · 1,093 flights
- Evenings77% on time · p90 35 min · 1,092 flights
- Overnights74% on time · p90 40 min · 650 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 83% on time.
- Saturdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 534 flights
- Mondays81% on time · p90 30 min · 588 flights
- Tuesdays81% on time · p90 25 min · 550 flights
- Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 552 flights
- Sundays79% on time · p90 35 min · 585 flights
- Thursdays78% on time · p90 30 min · 578 flights
- Fridays77% on time · p90 30 min · 582 flights
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