OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Raleigh-durham

980 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–RDU arrive on time 80% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate80%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights

based on 1,231 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights1,231

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline55%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)24%
  • Late aircraft20%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline50%
  • Weather50%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 14 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 73% to 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 15 min · 992 flights
  • Middays86% on time · p90 20 min · 916 flights
  • Overnights78% on time · p90 45 min · 817 flights
  • Afternoons77% on time · p90 40 min · 667 flights
  • Evenings73% on time · p90 35 min · 284 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 86% on time.

  • Tuesdays86% on time · p90 25 min · 526 flights
  • Thursdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 536 flights
  • Wednesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 526 flights
  • Mondays82% on time · p90 30 min · 541 flights
  • Sundays80% on time · p90 35 min · 535 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 35 min · 538 flights
  • Saturdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 474 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.