OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Raleigh-durham

980 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–RDU arrive on time 80% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate80%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.5%of scheduled flights

based on 1,227 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,227

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline59%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)20%
  • Late aircraft20%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 75% to 86% on time.

  • Middays86% on time · p90 20 min · 986 flights
  • Mornings86% on time · p90 20 min · 1,019 flights
  • Overnights79% on time · p90 40 min · 743 flights
  • Afternoons78% on time · p90 35 min · 558 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 35 min · 359 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 80% to 87% on time.

  • Tuesdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 527 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 532 flights
  • Wednesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 528 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 30 min · 543 flights
  • Sundays80% on time · p90 35 min · 532 flights
  • Saturdays80% on time · p90 45 min · 470 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 35 min · 533 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.