Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to Phoenix
1,276 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–PHX arrive on time 79% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate79%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.8%of scheduled flights
based on 3,049 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Southwest AirlinesbestOn-time90%Medianon timep9010 minCancel0.0%Flights249
- Frontier AirlinesOn-time84%Medianon timep9050 minCancel2.2%Flights45
- Delta Air LinesOn-time78%Medianon timep9040 minCancel0.7%Flights2,101
- American AirlinesOn-time77%Medianon timep9040 minCancel1.5%Flights654
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline57%
- Weather2%
- Air traffic (NAS)17%
- Late aircraft24%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline40%
- Weather60%
- Air traffic (NAS)0%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 25 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → PHX
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.
- Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 3,660 flights
- Middays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,663 flights
- Afternoons78% on time · p90 40 min · 2,197 flights
- Overnights73% on time · p90 60 min · 1,049 flights
- Evenings73% on time · p90 55 min · 1,152 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 80% to 84% on time.
- Wednesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,311 flights
- Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,297 flights
- Saturdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,430 flights
- Fridays81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,424 flights
- Sundays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,436 flights
- Thursdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,417 flights
- Mondays80% on time · p90 30 min · 1,406 flights
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