Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to Philadelphia
980 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–PHL arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.8%of scheduled flights
based on 1,806 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.
- Republic AirwaysOn-time78%Medianon timep9060 minCancel0.0%Flights54
- American AirlinesOn-time70%Medianon timep9090 minCancel1.9%Flights213
- Delta Air LinesOn-time81%Medianon timep9040 minCancel0.9%Flights1,221
- PSA AirlinesOn-time68%Medianon timep9065 minCancel5.3%Flights318
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline47%
- Weather2%
- Air traffic (NAS)22%
- Late aircraft29%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → PHL
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.
- Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,567 flights
- Middays81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,770 flights
- Overnights79% on time · p90 45 min · 968 flights
- Evenings72% on time · p90 55 min · 199 flights · limited
- Afternoons69% on time · p90 75 min · 900 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 76% to 82% on time.
- Tuesdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 772 flights
- Wednesdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 765 flights
- Saturdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 657 flights
- Thursdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 786 flights
- Mondays78% on time · p90 50 min · 821 flights
- Sundays77% on time · p90 40 min · 792 flights
- Fridays76% on time · p90 45 min · 811 flights
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