Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to New York
1,028 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–JFK arrive on time 79% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate79%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights
based on 762 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesOn-time79%Medianon timep9050 minCancel1.3%Flights762
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline50%
- Weather2%
- Air traffic (NAS)41%
- Late aircraft7%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline30%
- Weather60%
- Air traffic (NAS)10%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 10 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → JFK
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.
- Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 874 flights
- Middays78% on time · p90 40 min · 772 flights
- Afternoons76% on time · p90 40 min · 233 flights
- Evenings72% on time · p90 60 min · 912 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 78% to 81% on time.
- Tuesdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 395 flights
- Mondays81% on time · p90 40 min · 396 flights
- Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 397 flights
- Thursdays80% on time · p90 40 min · 400 flights
- Fridays78% on time · p90 35 min · 402 flights
- Sundays78% on time · p90 40 min · 402 flights
- Saturdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 400 flights
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