OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Jacksonville

1,174 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–JAX arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights

based on 275 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights275

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline55%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)30%
  • Late aircraft14%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → JAX

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 66% to 86% on time.

  • Afternoons86% on time · p90 25 min · 64 flights · limited
  • Middays84% on time · p90 25 min · 665 flights
  • Mornings84% on time · p90 25 min · 227 flights
  • Overnights66% on time · p90 90 min · 50 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 87% on time.

  • Wednesdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 138 flights · limited
  • Thursdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 152 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 138 flights · limited
  • Saturdays83% on time · p90 40 min · 146 flights · limited
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 25 min · 157 flights · limited
  • Fridays82% on time · p90 35 min · 153 flights · limited
  • Sundays79% on time · p90 40 min · 154 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.