OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Honolulu

3,972 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–HNL arrive on time 85% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate85%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 337 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time85%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights337

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline77%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)14%
  • Late aircraft5%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → HNL

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 81% to 85% on time.

  • Afternoons85% on time · p90 35 min · 136 flights · limited
  • Middays83% on time · p90 30 min · 896 flights
  • Mornings81% on time · p90 20 min · 62 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 85% on time.

  • Sundays85% on time · p90 20 min · 157 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 35 min · 157 flights · limited
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 35 min · 156 flights · limited
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 156 flights · limited
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 25 min · 155 flights · limited
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 40 min · 156 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 30 min · 157 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.