OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Detroit

528 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–DTW arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.5%of scheduled flights

based on 1,883 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,883

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline61%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)18%
  • Late aircraft16%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline40%
  • Weather60%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 10 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → DTW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 70% to 91% on time.

  • Mornings91% on time · p90 10 min · 2,583 flights
  • Middays89% on time · p90 15 min · 1,331 flights
  • Afternoons81% on time · p90 35 min · 1,203 flights
  • Overnights71% on time · p90 45 min · 313 flights
  • Evenings70% on time · p90 65 min · 1,075 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 82% to 86% on time.

  • Wednesdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 899 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 896 flights
  • Fridays85% on time · p90 25 min · 955 flights
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 30 min · 891 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 25 min · 950 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 30 min · 953 flights
  • Sundays82% on time · p90 30 min · 961 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.