OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Dallas-Fort Worth

852 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–DFW arrive on time 74% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate74%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.4%of scheduled flights

based on 3,035 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights1,412
  • American Airlines
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel3.3%
    Flights1,623

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline45%
  • Weather4%
  • Air traffic (NAS)19%
  • Late aircraft32%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline19%
  • Weather79%
  • Air traffic (NAS)1%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 72 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → DFW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 2,976 flights
  • Middays80% on time · p90 35 min · 2,230 flights
  • Overnights72% on time · p90 60 min · 460 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 60 min · 2,336 flights
  • Evenings68% on time · p90 70 min · 1,646 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 79% on time.

  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 1,338 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 1,467 flights
  • Fridays77% on time · p90 45 min · 1,420 flights
  • Wednesdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 1,322 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 50 min · 1,403 flights
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 50 min · 1,233 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 55 min · 1,465 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.