OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Denver

680 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–DEN arrive on time 76% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate76%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.8%of scheduled flights

based on 5,713 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time90%
    Medianon time
    p905 min
    Cancel4.1%
    Flights123
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel1.0%
    Flights608
  • United Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights1,436
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights1,742
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights1,804

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline28%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)38%
  • Late aircraft31%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline38%
  • Weather42%
  • Air traffic (NAS)21%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 48 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → DEN

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 15 min · 5,867 flights
  • Middays85% on time · p90 25 min · 4,768 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 70 min · 2,905 flights
  • Overnights69% on time · p90 60 min · 1,584 flights
  • Evenings67% on time · p90 65 min · 3,128 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 81% on time.

  • Saturdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 2,179 flights
  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 2,590 flights
  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 2,564 flights
  • Mondays79% on time · p90 40 min · 2,745 flights
  • Sundays78% on time · p90 40 min · 2,662 flights
  • Fridays78% on time · p90 45 min · 2,770 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 50 min · 2,742 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Delay predictorfor this route→MSP airportMinneapolis→DEN airportDenver→Delta Air Linesairline profile→Southwest Airlinesairline profile→United Airlinesairline profile→Seasonal delay patternsguide→

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.