OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Washington

931 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–DCA arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.5%of scheduled flights

based on 2,100 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel2.0%
    Flights1,690
  • PSA Airlines
    On-time68%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel5.2%
    Flights364
  • Republic Airways
    On-time61%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel2.2%
    Flights46

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline36%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)35%
  • Late aircraft24%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline30%
  • Weather58%
  • Air traffic (NAS)11%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 53 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 66% to 83% on time.

  • Mornings83% on time · p90 25 min · 1,482 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 25 min · 1,751 flights
  • Afternoons76% on time · p90 60 min · 1,306 flights
  • Overnights71% on time · p90 50 min · 912 flights
  • Evenings66% on time · p90 60 min · 1,793 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 82% on time.

  • Saturdays82% on time · p90 30 min · 812 flights
  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 997 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 35 min · 1,097 flights
  • Wednesdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 1,090 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 45 min · 1,064 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 50 min · 1,097 flights
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 45 min · 1,087 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.