Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to Washington
931 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–DCA arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.4%of scheduled flights
based on 2,291 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesbestOn-time73%Medianon timep9050 minCancel1.1%Flights1,704
- Republic AirwaysOn-time61%Medianon timep9065 minCancel2.2%Flights46
- PSA AirlinesOn-time65%Medianon timep9070 minCancel6.5%Flights541
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline34%
- Weather6%
- Air traffic (NAS)36%
- Late aircraft25%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → DCA
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 69% to 84% on time.
- Mornings84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,355 flights
- Middays82% on time · p90 25 min · 1,780 flights
- Afternoons77% on time · p90 50 min · 1,320 flights
- Overnights73% on time · p90 45 min · 874 flights
- Evenings69% on time · p90 55 min · 1,864 flights
Best day of week
Saturdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 82% on time.
- Saturdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 851 flights
- Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 1,002 flights
- Mondays77% on time · p90 35 min · 1,083 flights
- Wednesdays76% on time · p90 45 min · 1,074 flights
- Fridays76% on time · p90 45 min · 1,067 flights
- Sundays75% on time · p90 40 min · 1,057 flights
- Thursdays74% on time · p90 45 min · 1,059 flights
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