OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Nashville

695 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–BNA arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.4%of scheduled flights

based on 1,673 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time82%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel1.4%
    Flights1,214
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights459

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline39%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)28%
  • Late aircraft31%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline65%
  • Weather30%
  • Air traffic (NAS)4%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Airline. Shares are among 23 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → BNA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 10 min · 1,428 flights
  • Middays85% on time · p90 25 min · 1,048 flights
  • Afternoons77% on time · p90 40 min · 1,289 flights
  • Overnights77% on time · p90 40 min · 879 flights
  • Evenings70% on time · p90 45 min · 331 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 87% on time.

  • Wednesdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 701 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 25 min · 700 flights
  • Saturdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 625 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 30 min · 722 flights
  • Sundays80% on time · p90 30 min · 787 flights
  • Thursdays80% on time · p90 30 min · 719 flights
  • Fridays79% on time · p90 35 min · 721 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.