Historical on-time performance
Minneapolis to Nashville
695 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MSP–BNA arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights
based on 1,597 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesbestOn-time82%Medianon timep9025 minCancel0.7%Flights1,220
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time76%Medianon timep9040 minCancel0.8%Flights377
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline40%
- Weather4%
- Air traffic (NAS)25%
- Late aircraft31%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MSP → BNA
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.
- Mornings89% on time · p90 15 min · 1,329 flights
- Middays84% on time · p90 20 min · 1,081 flights
- Overnights77% on time · p90 40 min · 867 flights
- Afternoons77% on time · p90 35 min · 1,259 flights
- Evenings74% on time · p90 40 min · 347 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 84% on time.
- Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 695 flights
- Wednesdays83% on time · p90 20 min · 697 flights
- Saturdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 609 flights
- Mondays82% on time · p90 25 min · 711 flights
- Sundays81% on time · p90 25 min · 772 flights
- Fridays80% on time · p90 30 min · 700 flights
- Thursdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 699 flights
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