OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Minneapolis to Anchorage

2,518 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSP–ANC arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights

based on 629 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights598
  • Alaska Airlines
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights31

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline63%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)22%
  • Late aircraft14%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSP → ANC

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 75% to 86% on time.

  • Afternoons86% on time · p90 20 min · 551 flights
  • Mornings83% on time · p90 25 min · 487 flights
  • Overnights76% on time · p90 45 min · 508 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 35 min · 455 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 77% to 84% on time.

  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 282 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 30 min · 308 flights
  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 267 flights
  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 30 min · 256 flights
  • Sundays77% on time · p90 35 min · 297 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 35 min · 288 flights
  • Fridays77% on time · p90 30 min · 303 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.