OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Madison to Minneapolis

228 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSN–MSP arrive on time 83% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate83%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay35 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.2%of scheduled flights

based on 985 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Linesbest
    On-time90%
    Medianon time
    p9010 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights282
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.3%
    Flights703

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline78%
  • Weather13%
  • Air traffic (NAS)7%
  • Late aircraft2%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline8%
  • Weather83%
  • Air traffic (NAS)8%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 12 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSN → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 91% on time.

  • Mornings91% on time · p90 10 min · 1,535 flights
  • Afternoons83% on time · p90 40 min · 869 flights
  • Evenings77% on time · p90 55 min · 773 flights
  • Middays76% on time · p90 50 min · 686 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 81% to 87% on time.

  • Saturdays87% on time · p90 20 min · 468 flights
  • Tuesdays85% on time · p90 30 min · 559 flights
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 30 min · 561 flights
  • Sundays84% on time · p90 35 min · 562 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 35 min · 573 flights
  • Thursdays83% on time · p90 35 min · 570 flights
  • Fridays81% on time · p90 60 min · 570 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.