OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Madison to Washington

707 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MSN–DCA arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay70 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled4.0%of scheduled flights

based on 770 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • PSA Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel3.2%
    Flights596
  • Republic Airways
    On-time67%
    Medianon time
    p9085 min
    Cancel6.9%
    Flights174

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline34%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)20%
  • Late aircraft41%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MSN → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 83% on time.

  • Mornings83% on time · p90 25 min · 691 flights
  • Evenings79% on time · p90 40 min · 954 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 80 min · 205 flights
  • Middays71% on time · p90 60 min · 770 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 85% on time.

  • Saturdays85% on time · p90 15 min · 186 flights · limited
  • Sundays81% on time · p90 35 min · 398 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 50 min · 410 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 50 min · 398 flights
  • Wednesdays75% on time · p90 45 min · 412 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 55 min · 405 flights
  • Mondays73% on time · p90 60 min · 411 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.