OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Miami to San Francisco

2,585 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MIA–SFO arrive on time 77% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate77%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.1%of scheduled flights

based on 1,677 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • United Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.2%
    Flights619
  • American Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.1%
    Flights1,058

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)29%
  • Late aircraft35%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MIA → SFO

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 84% on time.

  • Mornings84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,590 flights
  • Afternoons69% on time · p90 75 min · 203 flights
  • Evenings59% on time · p90 90 min · 2,390 flights
  • Overnights57% on time · p90 85 min · 308 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 64% to 74% on time.

  • Tuesdays74% on time · p90 50 min · 637 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 60 min · 652 flights
  • Saturdays69% on time · p90 65 min · 655 flights
  • Mondays68% on time · p90 75 min · 657 flights
  • Wednesdays68% on time · p90 60 min · 633 flights
  • Thursdays65% on time · p90 90 min · 642 flights
  • Sundays64% on time · p90 80 min · 652 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.