OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Miami to Chicago

1,182 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MIA–MDW arrive on time 70% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate70%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.1%of scheduled flights

based on 380 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel2.1%
    Flights380

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline48%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)21%
  • Late aircraft26%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline0%
  • Weather75%
  • Air traffic (NAS)25%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 8 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MIA → MDW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 86% on time.

  • Mornings86% on time · p90 15 min · 865 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 60 min · 420 flights
  • Middays70% on time · p90 60 min · 360 flights
  • Overnights59% on time · p90 110 min · 138 flights · limited
  • Evenings54% on time · p90 80 min · 500 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 67% to 78% on time.

  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 251 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 246 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 60 min · 347 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 55 min · 339 flights
  • Thursdays71% on time · p90 65 min · 330 flights
  • Sundays70% on time · p90 75 min · 349 flights
  • Saturdays67% on time · p90 55 min · 421 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.