OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Memphis to Chicago

480 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MEM–MDW arrive on time 85% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate85%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay20 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.1%of scheduled flights

based on 648 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time85%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel1.1%
    Flights648

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline32%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)32%
  • Late aircraft36%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MEM → MDW

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 73% to 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 1,010 flights
  • Middays84% on time · p90 20 min · 99 flights · limited
  • Afternoons74% on time · p90 40 min · 622 flights
  • Evenings73% on time · p90 50 min · 258 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 87% on time.

  • Saturdays87% on time · p90 15 min · 178 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 30 min · 297 flights
  • Wednesdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 295 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 25 min · 311 flights
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 30 min · 309 flights
  • Sundays79% on time · p90 30 min · 297 flights
  • Thursdays79% on time · p90 35 min · 305 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.