OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Tucson

1,440 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MDW–TUS arrive on time 79% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate79%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 281 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights281

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline37%
  • Weather0%
  • Air traffic (NAS)19%
  • Late aircraft42%
  • Security1%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MDW → TUS

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 50% to 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 256 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 25 min · 282 flights
  • Afternoons68% on time · p90 55 min · 101 flights · limited
  • Overnights50% on time · p90 75 min · 58 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 73% to 84% on time.

  • Tuesdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 80 flights · limited
  • Fridays82% on time · p90 30 min · 96 flights · limited
  • Mondays79% on time · p90 40 min · 97 flights · limited
  • Sundays78% on time · p90 30 min · 115 flights · limited
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 25 min · 174 flights · limited
  • Thursdays76% on time · p90 25 min · 97 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays73% on time · p90 35 min · 79 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.