OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to San Jose

1,838 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MDW–SJC arrive on time 69% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate69%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.2%of scheduled flights

based on 512 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights512

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline37%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)11%
  • Late aircraft51%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline17%
  • Weather83%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 6 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MDW → SJC

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 83% on time.

  • Mornings83% on time · p90 20 min · 572 flights
  • Middays74% on time · p90 40 min · 213 flights
  • Evenings66% on time · p90 60 min · 392 flights
  • Afternoons57% on time · p90 65 min · 215 flights
  • Overnights53% on time · p90 90 min · 246 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 64% to 73% on time.

  • Saturdays73% on time · p90 40 min · 175 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays73% on time · p90 40 min · 251 flights
  • Fridays72% on time · p90 45 min · 260 flights
  • Tuesdays71% on time · p90 55 min · 252 flights
  • Thursdays68% on time · p90 50 min · 259 flights
  • Mondays68% on time · p90 45 min · 257 flights
  • Sundays64% on time · p90 85 min · 184 flights · limited

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.