OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Miami

1,182 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MDW–MIA arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.7%of scheduled flights

based on 415 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights385
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time63%
    Medianon time
    p90120 min
    Cancel3.3%
    Flights30

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline38%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)24%
  • Late aircraft38%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MDW → MIA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 56% to 79% on time.

  • Mornings79% on time · p90 35 min · 1,001 flights
  • Middays76% on time · p90 55 min · 353 flights
  • Overnights69% on time · p90 55 min · 334 flights
  • Evenings68% on time · p90 80 min · 592 flights
  • Afternoons56% on time · p90 85 min · 196 flights · limited

Best day of week

Tuesdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 83% on time.

  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 40 min · 296 flights
  • Mondays75% on time · p90 60 min · 359 flights
  • Wednesdays72% on time · p90 65 min · 300 flights
  • Saturdays71% on time · p90 50 min · 434 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 60 min · 351 flights
  • Thursdays70% on time · p90 55 min · 357 flights
  • Sundays68% on time · p90 55 min · 379 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.