OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Chicago to Denver

895 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MDW–DEN arrive on time 72% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate72%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.2%of scheduled flights

based on 2,279 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time72%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights2,279

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline27%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)31%
  • Late aircraft37%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline11%
  • Weather70%
  • Air traffic (NAS)19%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 27 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MDW → DEN

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 15 min · 3,016 flights
  • Middays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,819 flights
  • Afternoons65% on time · p90 75 min · 1,393 flights
  • Overnights64% on time · p90 65 min · 1,407 flights
  • Evenings62% on time · p90 70 min · 1,318 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 80% on time.

  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 1,220 flights
  • Saturdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 980 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,235 flights
  • Mondays75% on time · p90 45 min · 1,401 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 50 min · 1,335 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 50 min · 1,409 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 50 min · 1,373 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.