OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Harrisburg to Chicago

594 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MDT–ORD arrive on time 74% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate74%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.7%of scheduled flights

based on 1,766 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time84%
    Medianon time
    p9020 min
    Cancel1.2%
    Flights166
  • United Airlines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel2.3%
    Flights511
  • Envoy Air
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel2.6%
    Flights778
  • American Airlines
    On-time71%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel5.3%
    Flights190
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time62%
    Medianon time
    p90135 min
    Cancel3.3%
    Flights121

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline22%
  • Weather12%
  • Air traffic (NAS)28%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline10%
  • Weather60%
  • Air traffic (NAS)29%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 48 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MDT → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 15 min · 1,602 flights
  • Middays78% on time · p90 45 min · 942 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 85 min · 251 flights
  • Evenings67% on time · p90 55 min · 1,286 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 72% to 79% on time.

  • Saturdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 541 flights
  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 45 min · 590 flights
  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 586 flights
  • Thursdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 601 flights
  • Mondays78% on time · p90 40 min · 617 flights
  • Fridays75% on time · p90 45 min · 604 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 50 min · 616 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.