OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Orlando to St. Louis

880 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MCO–STL arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.9%of scheduled flights

based on 2,325 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Southwest Airlinesbest
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights2,024
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9080 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights301

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)14%
  • Late aircraft50%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MCO → STL

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 90% on time.

  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 2,200 flights
  • Middays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,272 flights
  • Afternoons67% on time · p90 65 min · 1,151 flights
  • Evenings64% on time · p90 65 min · 1,247 flights
  • Overnights58% on time · p90 90 min · 1,447 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 69% to 79% on time.

  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 951 flights
  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 957 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 50 min · 1,056 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 50 min · 1,039 flights
  • Saturdays71% on time · p90 50 min · 1,091 flights
  • Mondays71% on time · p90 60 min · 1,053 flights
  • Sundays69% on time · p90 70 min · 1,170 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.