OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Orlando to Raleigh-durham

534 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MCO–RDU arrive on time 76% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate76%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.9%of scheduled flights

based on 2,562 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel0.4%
    Flights783
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time77%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel1.6%
    Flights921
  • Republic Airways
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights214
  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time76%
    Medianon time
    p9055 min
    Cancel0.9%
    Flights644

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)14%
  • Late aircraft49%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MCO → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 2,647 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 45 min · 1,200 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 80 min · 1,880 flights
  • Overnights59% on time · p90 90 min · 1,522 flights
  • Evenings59% on time · p90 100 min · 904 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 70% to 80% on time.

  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 45 min · 1,000 flights
  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 40 min · 1,009 flights
  • Thursdays75% on time · p90 60 min · 1,209 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 65 min · 1,208 flights
  • Saturdays72% on time · p90 70 min · 1,211 flights
  • Sundays70% on time · p90 75 min · 1,301 flights
  • Mondays70% on time · p90 70 min · 1,216 flights
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Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.