Historical on-time performance
Orlando to Chicago
989 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MCO–MDW arrive on time 73% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate73%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.4%of scheduled flights
based on 2,562 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time73%Medianon timep9050 minCancel1.3%Flights2,529
- Frontier AirlinesOn-time64%Medianon timep9055 minCancel6.1%Flights33
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline26%
- Weather10%
- Air traffic (NAS)19%
- Late aircraft44%
- Security1%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MCO → MDW
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.
- Mornings88% on time · p90 10 min · 2,435 flights
- Middays77% on time · p90 30 min · 1,933 flights
- Afternoons70% on time · p90 50 min · 1,280 flights
- Evenings61% on time · p90 70 min · 1,788 flights
- Overnights56% on time · p90 85 min · 1,472 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 67% to 78% on time.
- Tuesdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 1,179 flights
- Wednesdays75% on time · p90 40 min · 1,182 flights
- Thursdays74% on time · p90 45 min · 1,267 flights
- Mondays73% on time · p90 55 min · 1,312 flights
- Fridays72% on time · p90 45 min · 1,301 flights
- Sundays69% on time · p90 60 min · 1,326 flights
- Saturdays67% on time · p90 65 min · 1,341 flights
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