Historical on-time performance
Orlando to Buffalo
1,011 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on MCO–BUF arrive on time 75% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate75%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.5%of scheduled flights
based on 1,741 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Southwest AirlinesOn-time74%Medianon timep9045 minCancel0.3%Flights963
- JetBlue AirwaysOn-time73%Medianon timep9065 minCancel0.8%Flights602
- Frontier AirlinesbestOn-time86%Medianon timep9020 minCancel0.6%Flights176
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline28%
- Weather3%
- Air traffic (NAS)19%
- Late aircraft50%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly MCO → BUF
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 88% on time.
- Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 1,601 flights
- Middays75% on time · p90 40 min · 995 flights
- Evenings68% on time · p90 70 min · 949 flights
- Afternoons64% on time · p90 80 min · 998 flights
- Overnights54% on time · p90 110 min · 564 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 69% to 80% on time.
- Tuesdays80% on time · p90 35 min · 594 flights
- Wednesdays78% on time · p90 35 min · 587 flights
- Mondays75% on time · p90 50 min · 742 flights
- Thursdays72% on time · p90 60 min · 696 flights
- Saturdays71% on time · p90 55 min · 969 flights
- Fridays71% on time · p90 60 min · 739 flights
- Sundays69% on time · p90 75 min · 780 flights
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