OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Orlando to Nashville

616 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on MCO–BNA arrive on time 74% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate74%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.9%of scheduled flights

based on 3,220 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time74%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights2,398
  • Spirit Airlines
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights822

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline29%
  • Weather5%
  • Air traffic (NAS)24%
  • Late aircraft42%
  • Security1%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly MCO → BNA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 15 min · 2,716 flights
  • Middays79% on time · p90 35 min · 1,950 flights
  • Afternoons66% on time · p90 65 min · 1,591 flights
  • Overnights61% on time · p90 80 min · 1,180 flights
  • Evenings61% on time · p90 70 min · 1,933 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 70% to 81% on time.

  • Tuesdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,184 flights
  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 45 min · 1,227 flights
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 45 min · 1,289 flights
  • Mondays73% on time · p90 50 min · 1,380 flights
  • Fridays71% on time · p90 50 min · 1,369 flights
  • Sundays70% on time · p90 60 min · 1,424 flights
  • Saturdays70% on time · p90 60 min · 1,497 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.