OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

New York to Minneapolis

1,020 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on LGA–MSP arrive on time 80% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate80%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights

based on 2,122 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time83%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel3.9%
    Flights357
  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9045 min
    Cancel0.8%
    Flights1,765

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline32%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)33%
  • Late aircraft32%
  • Security2%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly LGA → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 90% on time.

  • Mornings90% on time · p90 5 min · 2,809 flights
  • Middays88% on time · p90 15 min · 1,537 flights
  • Afternoons75% on time · p90 50 min · 1,454 flights
  • Evenings73% on time · p90 70 min · 1,056 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 83% to 88% on time.

  • Saturdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 740 flights
  • Wednesdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,054 flights
  • Thursdays84% on time · p90 25 min · 1,026 flights
  • Sundays84% on time · p90 25 min · 899 flights
  • Fridays84% on time · p90 30 min · 1,029 flights
  • Tuesdays83% on time · p90 35 min · 1,056 flights
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 30 min · 1,056 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.