OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

New York to Buffalo

292 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on LGA–BUF arrive on time 70% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate70%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay60 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled6.3%of scheduled flights

based on 1,899 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time70%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel6.3%
    Flights1,899

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline20%
  • Weather10%
  • Air traffic (NAS)21%
  • Late aircraft49%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline18%
  • Weather42%
  • Air traffic (NAS)40%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 120 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly LGA → BUF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 70% to 85% on time.

  • Mornings85% on time · p90 20 min · 1,161 flights
  • Evenings83% on time · p90 40 min · 186 flights · limited
  • Middays82% on time · p90 25 min · 1,302 flights
  • Afternoons75% on time · p90 45 min · 1,567 flights
  • Overnights70% on time · p90 55 min · 1,638 flights

Best day of week

Saturdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 85% on time.

  • Saturdays85% on time · p90 20 min · 448 flights
  • Wednesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 927 flights
  • Tuesdays79% on time · p90 40 min · 927 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 40 min · 929 flights
  • Fridays77% on time · p90 40 min · 919 flights
  • Mondays75% on time · p90 45 min · 926 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 45 min · 778 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.