OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Las Vegas to Fresno

258 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on LAS–FAT arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay30 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.3%of scheduled flights

based on 1,801 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Allegiant Airbest
    On-time86%
    Medianon time
    p9025 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights662
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time78%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights1,139

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline31%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)11%
  • Late aircraft52%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly LAS → FAT

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 92% on time.

  • Mornings92% on time · p90 10 min · 1,398 flights
  • Middays81% on time · p90 30 min · 1,183 flights
  • Evenings75% on time · p90 40 min · 462 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 50 min · 1,226 flights
  • Overnights61% on time · p90 70 min · 1,103 flights

Best day of week

Saturdays are the most reliable day to fly this route — 88% on time.

  • Saturdays88% on time · p90 15 min · 512 flights
  • Wednesdays81% on time · p90 30 min · 654 flights
  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 624 flights
  • Fridays75% on time · p90 55 min · 955 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 45 min · 894 flights
  • Mondays74% on time · p90 40 min · 882 flights
  • Thursdays73% on time · p90 40 min · 851 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.