Historical on-time performance
New York to Sacramento
2,521 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on JFK–SMF arrive on time 58% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate58%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay80 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.3%of scheduled flights
based on 153 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- JetBlue AirwaysOn-time58%Median5 minp9080 minCancel1.3%Flights153
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline13%
- Weather12%
- Air traffic (NAS)39%
- Late aircraft35%
- Security1%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly JFK → SMF
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 49% to 67% on time.
- Tuesdays67% on time · p90 55 min · 120 flights · limited
- Fridays61% on time · p90 110 min · 121 flights · limited
- Wednesdays60% on time · p90 100 min · 121 flights · limited
- Thursdays58% on time · p90 90 min · 120 flights · limited
- Mondays54% on time · p90 95 min · 120 flights · limited
- Sundays53% on time · p90 95 min · 120 flights · limited
- Saturdays49% on time · p90 120 min · 121 flights · limited
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