Historical on-time performance
New York to Minneapolis
1,029 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on JFK–MSP arrive on time 79% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate79%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay70 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.4%of scheduled flights
based on 762 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- Delta Air LinesOn-time79%Medianon timep9070 minCancel1.4%Flights762
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline39%
- Weather0%
- Air traffic (NAS)25%
- Late aircraft35%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
When flights don't go
Why flights were cancelled
- Airline36%
- Weather55%
- Air traffic (NAS)9%
- Security0%
Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 11 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly JFK → MSP
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 66% to 88% on time.
- Mornings88% on time · p90 15 min · 914 flights
- Middays85% on time · p90 25 min · 900 flights
- Evenings66% on time · p90 85 min · 877 flights
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 82% on time.
- Wednesdays82% on time · p90 45 min · 396 flights
- Mondays81% on time · p90 35 min · 396 flights
- Tuesdays81% on time · p90 50 min · 396 flights
- Fridays80% on time · p90 40 min · 402 flights
- Sundays80% on time · p90 50 min · 403 flights
- Thursdays78% on time · p90 55 min · 400 flights
- Saturdays74% on time · p90 65 min · 398 flights
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