OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

New York to Washington

213 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on JFK–DCA arrive on time 66% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate66%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay75 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled5.4%of scheduled flights

based on 2,736 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airwaysbest
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9060 min
    Cancel5.5%
    Flights2,380
  • JetBlue Airways
    On-time49%
    Median10 min
    p90135 min
    Cancel4.8%
    Flights356

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline18%
  • Weather3%
  • Air traffic (NAS)42%
  • Late aircraft37%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly JFK → DCA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 87% on time.

  • Mornings87% on time · p90 20 min · 2,351 flights
  • Middays83% on time · p90 40 min · 519 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 55 min · 1,900 flights
  • Evenings72% on time · p90 65 min · 1,045 flights
  • Overnights67% on time · p90 70 min · 1,987 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 74% to 78% on time.

  • Tuesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,120 flights
  • Wednesdays78% on time · p90 40 min · 1,123 flights
  • Mondays77% on time · p90 45 min · 1,123 flights
  • Thursdays76% on time · p90 55 min · 1,101 flights
  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 55 min · 1,100 flights
  • Sundays74% on time · p90 55 min · 1,123 flights
  • Fridays74% on time · p90 60 min · 1,112 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.