OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

New York to Nashville

766 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on JFK–BNA arrive on time 71% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate71%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay55 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.8%of scheduled flights

based on 1,584 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • Republic Airways
    On-time75%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel2.4%
    Flights1,047
  • SkyWest Airlines
    On-time83%
    Medianon time
    p9015 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights30
  • JetBlue Airways
    On-time62%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel3.9%
    Flights507

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather1%
  • Air traffic (NAS)36%
  • Late aircraft35%
  • Security3%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly JFK → BNA

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 59% to 82% on time.

  • Mornings82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,676 flights
  • Middays82% on time · p90 30 min · 1,307 flights
  • Afternoons73% on time · p90 50 min · 2,000 flights
  • Evenings62% on time · p90 85 min · 926 flights
  • Overnights59% on time · p90 80 min · 285 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 71% to 81% on time.

  • Wednesdays81% on time · p90 40 min · 869 flights
  • Tuesdays77% on time · p90 45 min · 870 flights
  • Thursdays77% on time · p90 50 min · 878 flights
  • Mondays76% on time · p90 40 min · 898 flights
  • Fridays73% on time · p90 55 min · 889 flights
  • Sundays72% on time · p90 55 min · 898 flights
  • Saturdays71% on time · p90 60 min · 892 flights
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Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.