OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Jacksonville to Minneapolis

1,174 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on JAX–MSP arrive on time 79% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate79%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 275 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Delta Air Lines
    On-time79%
    Medianon time
    p9040 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights275

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline36%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)10%
  • Late aircraft46%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly JAX → MSP

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 80% to 88% on time.

  • Mornings88% on time · p90 10 min · 95 flights · limited
  • Afternoons84% on time · p90 15 min · 63 flights · limited
  • Middays84% on time · p90 20 min · 200 flights
  • Evenings80% on time · p90 35 min · 679 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 79% to 86% on time.

  • Thursdays86% on time · p90 20 min · 152 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays84% on time · p90 30 min · 138 flights · limited
  • Saturdays84% on time · p90 20 min · 146 flights · limited
  • Mondays80% on time · p90 25 min · 156 flights · limited
  • Fridays80% on time · p90 40 min · 154 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays80% on time · p90 25 min · 138 flights · limited
  • Sundays79% on time · p90 50 min · 153 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.