OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Louisville

451 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on IAD–SDF arrive on time 81% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate81%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay50 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.0%of scheduled flights

based on 175 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Republic Airways
    On-time81%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.0%
    Flights175

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline19%
  • Weather10%
  • Air traffic (NAS)13%
  • Late aircraft58%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline11%
  • Weather39%
  • Air traffic (NAS)50%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS). Shares are among 18 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly IAD → SDF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 85% to 89% on time.

  • Mornings89% on time · p90 15 min · 394 flights
  • Evenings85% on time · p90 25 min · 709 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 83% to 89% on time.

  • Thursdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 176 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays89% on time · p90 15 min · 167 flights · limited
  • Fridays88% on time · p90 20 min · 176 flights · limited
  • Tuesdays88% on time · p90 20 min · 166 flights · limited
  • Sundays85% on time · p90 15 min · 183 flights · limited
  • Saturdays85% on time · p90 35 min · 169 flights · limited
  • Mondays83% on time · p90 20 min · 174 flights · limited

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.