OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Washington to Phoenix

1,956 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on IAD–PHX arrive on time 78% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate78%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay40 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.4%of scheduled flights

based on 1,152 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time82%
    Medianon time
    p9030 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights846
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9050 min
    Cancel0.3%
    Flights306

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline25%
  • Weather7%
  • Air traffic (NAS)29%
  • Late aircraft39%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly IAD → PHX

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 73% to 90% on time.

  • Mornings90% on time · p90 10 min · 812 flights
  • Middays88% on time · p90 15 min · 373 flights
  • Afternoons75% on time · p90 40 min · 311 flights
  • Evenings73% on time · p90 45 min · 1,376 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 78% to 82% on time.

  • Tuesdays82% on time · p90 25 min · 392 flights
  • Saturdays81% on time · p90 35 min · 410 flights
  • Mondays81% on time · p90 25 min · 419 flights
  • Sundays80% on time · p90 40 min · 424 flights
  • Wednesdays80% on time · p90 30 min · 391 flights
  • Thursdays78% on time · p90 30 min · 417 flights
  • Fridays78% on time · p90 45 min · 420 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.