Historical on-time performance
Fresno to Chicago
1,730 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS
Flights on FAT–ORD arrive on time 62% of the time over the last 12 months.
On-time rate62%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay25 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled3.9%of scheduled flights
based on 152 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).
By airline
How each carrier compares
- United AirlinesOn-time62%Median5 minp9025 minCancel3.9%Flights152
Why flights run late
Delay causes
- Airline45%
- Weather7%
- Air traffic (NAS)40%
- Late aircraft8%
- Security0%
Most delay minutes here are attributed to Airline.
Over time
On-time trend
By season
On-time rate by month
When to fly
Best time to fly FAT → ORD
All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).
Best time of day
On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 64% to 67% on time.
- Overnights67% on time · p90 65 min · 259 flights
- Mornings64% on time · p90 25 min · 199 flights · limited
Best day of week
On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 57% to 80% on time.
- Tuesdays80% on time · p90 20 min · 56 flights · limited
- Wednesdays68% on time · p90 40 min · 56 flights · limited
- Saturdays66% on time · p90 80 min · 62 flights · limited
- Mondays66% on time · p90 65 min · 70 flights · limited
- Fridays64% on time · p90 55 min · 74 flights · limited
- Sundays63% on time · p90 65 min · 68 flights · limited
- Thursdays57% on time · p90 30 min · 72 flights · limited
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