OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Newark to Sacramento

2,500 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on EWR–SMF arrive on time 66% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate66%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay90 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled1.5%of scheduled flights

based on 275 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • United Airlines
    On-time66%
    Medianon time
    p9090 min
    Cancel1.5%
    Flights275

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline23%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)22%
  • Late aircraft53%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly EWR → SMF

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

On-time rates are fairly even by time of day on this route — ranging from 63% to 64% on time.

  • Evenings64% on time · p90 80 min · 863 flights
  • Overnights63% on time · p90 95 min · 65 flights · limited

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 58% to 73% on time.

  • Tuesdays73% on time · p90 40 min · 133 flights · limited
  • Saturdays67% on time · p90 130 min · 132 flights · limited
  • Wednesdays64% on time · p90 90 min · 133 flights · limited
  • Mondays63% on time · p90 65 min · 135 flights · limited
  • Sundays62% on time · p90 80 min · 135 flights · limited
  • Thursdays61% on time · p90 100 min · 132 flights · limited
  • Fridays58% on time · p90 90 min · 132 flights · limited
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.