OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Newark to Chicago

719 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on EWR–ORD arrive on time 70% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate70%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay65 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.8%of scheduled flights

based on 5,698 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

Too close to call — no single carrier is clearly more on-time here.

  • American Airlines
    On-time73%
    Medianon time
    p9095 min
    Cancel4.1%
    Flights586
  • Envoy Air
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel5.1%
    Flights721
  • United Airlines
    On-time69%
    Medianon time
    p9065 min
    Cancel2.1%
    Flights4,330
  • Spirit Airlines
    On-time64%
    Medianon time
    p90100 min
    Cancel13.1%
    Flights61

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline20%
  • Weather6%
  • Air traffic (NAS)40%
  • Late aircraft34%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Air traffic (NAS).

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline6%
  • Weather79%
  • Air traffic (NAS)16%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 161 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly EWR → ORD

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 84% on time.

  • Mornings84% on time · p90 20 min · 5,318 flights
  • Middays78% on time · p90 40 min · 4,785 flights
  • Overnights65% on time · p90 85 min · 1,815 flights
  • Afternoons64% on time · p90 85 min · 2,290 flights
  • Evenings51% on time · p90 110 min · 3,641 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 67% to 76% on time.

  • Tuesdays76% on time · p90 50 min · 2,531 flights
  • Wednesdays73% on time · p90 65 min · 2,573 flights
  • Saturdays72% on time · p90 65 min · 2,293 flights
  • Mondays72% on time · p90 60 min · 2,607 flights
  • Thursdays71% on time · p90 65 min · 2,601 flights
  • Sundays68% on time · p90 65 min · 2,633 flights
  • Fridays67% on time · p90 75 min · 2,611 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.