OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Dallas-Fort Worth to Bakersfield

1,271 miData through Dec 2025Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DFW–BFL arrive on time 48% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate48%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay165 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled2.0%of scheduled flights

based on 306 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • American Airlines
    On-time48%
    Median15 min
    p90165 min
    Cancel2.0%
    Flights306

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline30%
  • Weather9%
  • Air traffic (NAS)4%
  • Late aircraft57%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DFW → BFL

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-01 .. 2025-12).

Best time of day

Middays are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 77% on time.

  • Middays77% on time · p90 50 min · 426 flights
  • Overnights54% on time · p90 100 min · 385 flights
  • Evenings54% on time · p90 115 min · 619 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 56% to 68% on time.

  • Saturdays68% on time · p90 60 min · 197 flights · limited
  • Mondays62% on time · p90 95 min · 216 flights
  • Sundays61% on time · p90 100 min · 216 flights
  • Wednesdays61% on time · p90 105 min · 203 flights
  • Fridays60% on time · p90 100 min · 214 flights
  • Tuesdays60% on time · p90 60 min · 198 flights · limited
  • Thursdays56% on time · p90 130 min · 212 flights
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Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.