OnTimeStats

Historical on-time performance

Denver to Raleigh-durham

1,437 miData through May 2026Source: US DOT · BTS

Flights on DEN–RDU arrive on time 73% of the time over the last 12 months.

On-time rate73%arrived within 15 min
p90 delay45 min1 in 10 flights is worse (tail risk)
Cancelled0.6%of scheduled flights

based on 1,545 flights over the last 12 months. On-time means arriving within 15 minutes (BTS standard).

By airline

How each carrier compares

  • Frontier Airlines
    On-time94%
    Medianon time
    p90on time
    Cancel3.2%
    Flights31
  • United Airlinesbest
    On-time80%
    Medianon time
    p9035 min
    Cancel0.5%
    Flights805
  • Southwest Airlines
    On-time64%
    Median5 min
    p9055 min
    Cancel0.7%
    Flights709

Why flights run late

Delay causes

  • Airline27%
  • Weather2%
  • Air traffic (NAS)20%
  • Late aircraft52%
  • Security0%

Most delay minutes here are attributed to Late aircraft.

When flights don't go

Why flights were cancelled

  • Airline20%
  • Weather80%
  • Air traffic (NAS)0%
  • Security0%

Most cancellations here are attributed to Weather. Shares are among 10 cancellations with a reported cause (BTS reports causes from June 2003).

Over time

On-time trend

By season

On-time rate by month

When to fly

Best time to fly DEN → RDU

All airlines · rolling 36 months (2023-06 .. 2026-05).

Best time of day

Mornings are the most reliable time of day to fly this route — 82% on time.

  • Mornings82% on time · p90 25 min · 1,520 flights
  • Middays77% on time · p90 30 min · 1,362 flights
  • Overnights74% on time · p90 70 min · 308 flights
  • Afternoons71% on time · p90 50 min · 445 flights
  • Evenings63% on time · p90 70 min · 2,067 flights

Best day of week

On-time rates are fairly even by day on this route — ranging from 69% to 76% on time.

  • Saturdays76% on time · p90 40 min · 772 flights
  • Wednesdays74% on time · p90 40 min · 785 flights
  • Tuesdays74% on time · p90 45 min · 796 flights
  • Sundays73% on time · p90 50 min · 841 flights
  • Thursdays72% on time · p90 50 min · 860 flights
  • Mondays70% on time · p90 45 min · 853 flights
  • Fridays69% on time · p90 65 min · 856 flights

Keep exploring

Related pages

Methodology

A flight is on time when it arrives within 15 minutes of schedule — the US DOT / BTS standard. Median and p90(the “1-in-10 bad day”) are read from the full arrival-delay distribution, never averaged across periods.

Figures cover a carrier’s own BTS-coded flights. Cells below ~200 flights are flagged as limited data. All numbers are pre-computed from public BTS On-Time Performance data.